Deliberately provocative title here, and I’m not going to go on record making a prediction, but I just have a bad feeling about it. The persistent bugbear on the Democratic side is voter turnout. Hong had momentum and energy, with the potential to drive strong turnout of the progressive and Democratic base. By the AP numbers I saw, she had majority support through much of the state, while Crowley won with a majority of Milwaukee voters. Which is to be expected, as that’s where the biggest chunk of our population lives. But also, Milwaukee has historically had soft Democratic voter turnout.

Voters there chose him in the primary; will they show up for the general election?